From Fragmented Data to Predictive Precision
A leading insurance provider serving over 3 million customers set out to improve policy persistency, deepen cross-sell penetration, and proactively reduce early claims. However, their customer intelligence systems lacked maturity. Data was fragmented across systems, behavior signals were inconsistent, and there was no model-driven decisioning layer to support campaign execution or CX personalization.
The insurer needed a way to understand customer propensity, predict behavior, and take the right action, at the right moment. And they needed this capability embedded deep inside their operations, not just as a one-time analytics project.
The Transformation: Building, Operationalizing, and Evolving Predictive Models
Initial Phase: IBM PCI Implementation
Xerago led the end-to-end deployment of IBM Predictive Customer Intelligence (PCI). This included integrating IBM SPSS Modeler with the insurer’s core policy systems, data lakes, CRM, and campaign platforms.
We built the foundational data pipelines, curated AI-ready datasets, and developed a predictive workbench.
To ensure the solution scaled with the business, we architected it on a robust infrastructure, with high-performance server nodes and a dedicated analytics environment.
Data pipelines were orchestrated across an operational data store (ODS), fed by scheduled ETL jobs that harmonized information from policy, customer, product, agent, and call center systems. This foundation, built using best-in-class technologies, enabled us to deliver high reliability and throughput for all predictive workloads.
- SPSS Modeler
- Cognos Analytics
- DB2
- IBM WebSphere
On top of this foundation, Xerago built a comprehensive suite of behavioral models:
- Cross-sell Propensity
- Upsell Potential
- Early Claims Probability
- Persistency Risk (Renewal Drop-off)
These models powered downstream journeys across channels like SMS, email, agent alerts, and IVR. They became embedded into business logic, from campaign segmentation to escalation triggers.
Ongoing Model Management
Beyond initial implementation, Xerago also took responsibility for managing and refreshing models to ensure continued precision. We periodically restrained them, monitored for drift, and adjusted features as product constructs and customer behavior evolved.
This meant not just deploying algorithms, but building a data science methodology that included detailed data audits, consistency checks, and business-aligned feature engineering.
Over 30 variables (such as agent tenure, payment patterns, policyholder demographics, contact history, and KPIs like complaint resolution time) were derived and validated. Extensive transformations and aggregations ensured that each model drew from a single source of truth, with robust checks to maximize accuracy and minimize bias. For maximum transparency and business alignment, we selected the CHAID decision tree as our lead algorithm, balancing predictive power with explainability for business stakeholders
This helped the models stay relevant, not just technically accurate, but business-aligned.
The Crossroads: IBM PCI Deprecation
When IBM announced the sunset of Predictive Customer Intelligence, the insurer faced a major inflection point. All existing models risked becoming unusable. To avoid operational disruption, Xerago designed and executed a complete transition strategy, replacing IBM PCI with an open, modular decisioning stack.
We reimagined the predictive workbench using open, modular technologies, leveraging Python, R, AutoML, H2O, and Apache Airflow for orchestration. This new stack didn’t just replicate previous capabilities, it offered greater agility and transparency, empowering business users to adapt models faster and deploy new use cases at scale.
The business didn’t just retain its predictive layer, it gained greater control, speed, and extensibility.
Technical Architecture, Data & Deployment Summary
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| A. Infrastructure | Production:
Non-Production/UAT:
|
| B. Software Stack | Server Nodes:
Client:
|
| C. Data Flow & Preparation | Sources Integrated:
Processing:
|
| D. Modeling Approach |
|
| E. Deployment Workflow |
|
| F. Performance & Monitoring |
|
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| A. Infrastructure | Production:
Non-Production/UAT:
|
| B. Software Stack | Server Nodes:
Client:
|
| C. Data Flow & Preparation | Sources Integrated:
Processing:
|
| D. Modeling Approach |
|
| E. Deployment Workflow |
|
| F. Performance & Monitoring |
|
From Scores to Decisions to Impact
Xerago helped ensure that the predictions were translated into real actions across business teams. Model scores were integrated with customer journeys, CRM systems, and marketing automation tools. Customer service agents used the insights to prioritize engagement.
Campaign teams built dynamic segments based on real-time churn and conversion scores. Retention managers used early claims risk to trigger preemptive communication and interventions.
Business Impact Delivered
32% improvement
in policy persistency across targeted customer segments
97.3% model
precision achieved on cross-sell predictions (validated across multiple cohorts)
28% increase
in cross-sell conversions through targeted activation campaigns
17.5% reduction
in early claims by acting on predictive risk alerts
Zero disruption.
Full continuity of decisioning layer post IBM PCI sunset
AI that Grew with the Business
This transformation wasn’t just about models, it was about embedding intelligence into the operating fabric of the organization. From initial implementation to platform sunset and beyond, Xerago ensured that predictive intelligence never became shelfware. It evolved with the business, scaled with the data, and delivered measurable value, year after year.
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